PGA DFS lineup strategy
Six golfers, one cut line: how golf lineups differ from football, and how to think about exposure across a PGA portfolio.
A PGA DFS lineup is six golfers under a salary cap, scored on their four rounds. There are no teams and no games, so football's biggest tool — stacking correlated players — mostly disappears. What replaces it is the cut.
The cut decides the floor
After two rounds, golfers outside the cut line stop playing and stop scoring. A lineup with all six golfers playing the weekend has a solid floor; a lineup with two missed cuts rarely recovers. That is why the chance of making the cut matters as much as a golfer's upside, especially for cheaper players.
Stars and depth
A salary cap forces a trade-off between paying up for the top of the field and spreading salary across solid mid-priced golfers. Neither is right every week. Across a portfolio you can do both — some lineups built around the favorites, others spread wider — and let exposure decide the balance.
Is there any correlation?
Some players group golfers by tee time, on the idea that weather can favor one wave of the draw over the other. It is a real consideration on windy weeks. Martian Flow does not model tee-time waves; if you want that exposure, set it yourself with group or exposure rules.
Doing it here
- Pick a PGA tournament on DraftKings or FanDuel. Martian Flow golf projections are built in; upload your own if you prefer.
- Set exposure ranges for the golfers you have strong views on and build.
- If a golfer withdraws, exclude him and rebuild only the lineups that contained him.